Free tool

Race predictor

Tell us one race time. See what you could run at any other distance. No sign-up.

in
hours
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mins
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secs
time?

Now find the race to run it in
7 questions, about a minute

All your predictions

Plan your splits with the pace calculator

How the prediction works

We use Riegel’s formula, a long-standing way of estimating race times, published by the engineer Peter Riegel. It assumes you slow down by a steady amount as the distance goes up. The formula tends to run fast for the marathon, so we add about 2% to marathon times. A 25:00 5K predicts about 52:07 for 10K, 1:55:00 for the half and 4:05:03 for the marathon.

The prediction assumes you’ve trained for the longer distance and that the course and the weather are kind. Use your most recent race on a flat course, because an old time or a hilly one will throw it off.